Better Lipid-Lowering Therapy Improves Long-Term Financial Health Care Sustainability: A Simulation Model

Tuesday, 16 February 2010 00:00

From Atherosclerosis Supplements 2009; 10: 3-21.

Hospitalization forecasts in Italy show that the number of patients at risk of hospitalization for CVD due to high cholesterol levels is anticipated to increase by more than 50% over the next 30 years (assuming technology remains constant). The key question is “How can this projected pattern be changed through better drug treatment of cholesterol levels?”
The projected number of patients at risk of hospitalization for CVD due to high levels of cholesterol is forecasted to increase by more than 50% over the next 30 years. Calculation based on RGS and Ministry of Health data.
The potential gain in terms of hospitalization reduction under the assumption of a fully compliant population at risk.
The Health Search Database represents an important source of information to produce patient-level analyses. The results provide a country-wide picture of an important phenomenon such as the under treatment of patients suffering from hypercholesterolemia. The simulation appears to suggest the existence of large potential savings resulting from better management of patients with high cholesterol. At 2005 prices, the estimates of potential savings range from € 2.9 billion in 2012 to € 4 billion in 2040.

February 16, 2010

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